06.02.12

The amount of debt in the economy former to the recession had reached eye watering levels.  Household due was 169% of household income in 2008 compared to 112% in 2000.  Such hilarious levels of debt cannot be unwound overnight.  The UK needs a sustained a period of deleveraging. Even under the best economic scenario, the programme of austerity should be at least a 10-year occupation with the first parliamentary term achieving deficit reduction and the second consolidating the gains.  That means below direction growth and less money in everyone’s pockets for some years to come.  As Better puts it, austerity is the new normal.

It is therefore a good thing that the foundations for austerity have been laid and the most formidable thing the Chancellor should do next week is hold his nerve and continue with Representation A. In fact, thedeficit reduction packageshould go further – it depends on intumescence and public service reform, both of which are behind schedule.  To keep Plan A on keep an eye on, George Osborne needs further reductions in the NHS and welfare budgets, the least plentiful areas of government spending.

Source: eGov monitor

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